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Socio-Economic Statistics Research, 2025, 6(2); doi: 10.38007/SESR.2025.060217.

Research on Financial Time Series Prediction Model Based on Multi Attention Mechanism and Emotional Feature Fusion

Author(s)

Jingzhi Yin

Corresponding Author:
Jingzhi Yin
Affiliation(s)

Department of Mathematics, Columbia University, New York 10017, New York, United States

Abstract

Financial time series forecasting is crucial for high-quality economic development, but data has nonlinear, non-stationary, high noise, and multi factor driving characteristics. Traditional models (such as ARIMA) and machine learning models have limitations in complex scenarios. This study constructs a dual model system: the long-term prediction model (PatchCT) captures temporal context dependencies through sparse attention and integrates cross feature trend information through channel attention branches; The short-term prediction model (MSA xLSTM) integrates FinBERT emotion index and technical indicators (filtered by Spearman), achieves feature fusion through multi-scale emotion attention module, and combines xLSTM to establish long-range dependencies to improve short-term accuracy. The data processing adopts RevIN stationary sequence and adaptive patching to enhance local feature extraction. The backtesting verification shows that the long-term prediction strategy returns are better than the baseline, and the short-term model achieves the lowest prediction error on all four stock datasets (such as RMSE/MAE indicators being better than CNN-LSTM, GRU Attention, and other models), providing better decision support for aggressive ultra short term investors. This study forms a "long-term short-term" collaborative financial time series prediction system, promoting the practical application of the model in asset allocation, risk management and other scenarios. In the future, it will expand the joint modeling of time domain frequency domain, explore cross domain generalization ability, and deepen the analysis of multiple factors related to weak fundamental stocks, promoting the evolution of financial time series prediction towards a more universal and accurate direction.

Keywords

Dynamic price prediction, time series modeling, overseas warehouse location selection, customer satisfaction, SARIMA-GARCH model

Cite This Paper

Jingzhi Yin. Research on Financial Time Series Prediction Model Based on Multi Attention Mechanism and Emotional Feature Fusion. Socio-Economic Statistics Research (2025), Vol. 6, Issue 2: 161-169. https://doi.org/10.38007/SESR.2025.060217.

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